Monday, April 21, 2008

Of Food Prices, Population Growth, Climate Change, Biofuels and even Malthus!

A very interesting article from FinFacts covering, well, just about everything you could care to mention! And some fascinating facts........

"we now consume about fifty thousand times as much energy as our ancestors once did" Wow!

And have you heard of Norman
Borlaug? They reckon that he has "saved more lives than any other person who has ever lived." Gosh! And I've never even heard of him before!

"US stocks of wheat are at a 60-year low and world rice stocks are at a 25-year low."

"The rise in the price of oil has resulted in the US diverting 20% of its maize/corn production for biofuels and the European Union 68% of its vegetable oil production."

Meanwhile, looking at the world's population figures:-
AD 0001 ~300 Million
AD 1000 ~310 Million (Yes, that's a 10 million increase in 1000 years!)
AD 1500 ~450 Million
AD 1804 ~1 Billion
AD 1927 ~2 Billion
AD 1960 ~3 Billion
AD 1975 ~4 Billion
AD 1989 ~5 Billion
AD 2000 ~6 Billion (Yes, that's a 1 Billion increase in 11 years!)
Today ~6,662,731,966 (At midday today - probably several 100 thousand more in a few hours!)
AD 2010? ~7 Billion?
AD 2050? ~9.2 Billion+?

From a 10 Million increase in a thousand years, to a 10 Million increase over a matter of days! Maybe Malthus wasn't so crazy after all, simply a little ahead of his time. It doesn't look too good really, does it?

Addendum:

At least it looks as if the EU is going to revue the biofuels targets - from the Guardian.

3 comments:

  1. His name is actually Norman Borlaug http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norman_Borlaug

    ReplyDelete
  2. Geoff,
    Quite right - my own bad checking before posting. Corrected in the post now.
    Dave.

    ReplyDelete
  3. This woefully unheralded gent at least gets a few more to appreciate one of the few 'doers' where the talkers (and, worse, the fudgers) reign.

    ReplyDelete

I believe in freedom of speech. But I also don't like bullies on blogs, even verbal ones, as they can drive away those with something valid to say... or offer.

Subjective is fine, but well argued and substantiated is even better. Calm and polite tops. Anything that crosses my personal line will not go up. There may be reasons given, but not guaranteed.

I'm not too keen on 'Anon' as a handle (and the content usually explains why), so if that's what you opt for it may not make it. Sorry.