Wednesday, July 04, 2007

Sometimes you ask the right questions .....

.... but you get the wrong answers ..... sometimes you may get the right answers, but by asking the wrong questions. Sometimes you think you are right, and you are not.

I hate being wrong, I always have; but I hate things that hide the truth, or what potentially may be the truth, whether deliberately, or by silence, even more. So when you come across something that casts an entirely different light on a subject that you've being banging on about, you just have to swallow your pride and share it - whether it is actually right, or wrong, or neither.

Confused? .............. Then allow me to elucidate.

A little while back I posted a few items either on, or that mentioned, the potential geo-political outcomes of global warming - famine, mass migration, wars etc. and about how even the UN was assessing current conflicts such as that in Sudan as being a direct consequence of global warming that has occured already.
See 18th June - Arms dealing - the career of the future?
and 21st June - Today's forecast - heavy wars.

So it was with great interest that I came across this piece on Sudan's oil production activities.

Some very interesting facts appear in this:-

"Sudan only started producing and exporting oil in July 1999, with the completion of an export pipeline that runs from central Sudan to the Red Sea port of Bashair."

"Sudan is now the third largest crude oil producer in Africa." (I knew it had some minor oilfields - but third behind only Nigeria and Angola - in less than a decade!!)

"The Sudanese Energy Ministry estimates total oil reserves at five billion barrels." (Nice little asset to sit on.)

"Sudanese sources estimate that Darfur and Kordofan may be the areas richest in oil in the entire country."

So where is this going? Well, take another look at THAT region name in the last statement again, and then take a look at concession block 6 on the map in the attached link. Block 6 is reckoned to be the most promising as far as future production is concerned (i.e. read - the biggest oilfields).

Block 6 just happens to sit right across a big chunk of the Darfur region.

So the prolonged drought has forced conflict between the farmers and nomadic groups and there is insufficient water to go around?

Excuse me for being ironic - but now I'm beginning to think all is not at is seems, and not as we have been led to believe. Methinks I smell the very strong stench of PetroDollars in the air. And do I detect, perhaps, just a whiff of PetroDollar funded ethnic cleansing in Darfur? Perhaps I'm adding 2 + 2 and making 5, but it has certainly made me think again.

What do our readers think?

And I'm not even going to mention the fact that both the Chinese and the West, including the US (despite current sanctions), have major oil exploration and exploitation activities going on in Sudan, to muddy the mix even more.

Oh, I just did. Sorry.

And sorry for being wrong - well, maybe wrong.

Addendum:

Is there anybody out there who subscribes to The Irish Times who might let us know what the main thrust of this article (5/7/2007) is?
UN hides behind climate change to mask Darfur inaction.

1 comment:

Emma said...

You can't be wrong by asking a question.

Sure, you are joining some dots, but they are very conveniently aligned, presuming the factual basis you quote to be accurate.

I just have so much trouble coping with the fact that so many folk are so complicit in so much so-dding poor behaviour in the name of not only money, but scaring up the last few scraps of a discredited resource.

But, it seems, just when my faith in human nature can be dragged no lower, someone, somewhere, can scrape the top off an oil shale field and/or spin up a drill to pour more into the top of an oil barrel.

Shame they have to compound it all by ... possibly... knocking off a few million innocents to do so.